歡迎妳來

2013年2月15日 星期五

微軟要小心,依 Google 發展軟體速度,微軟 Windows 未來將面靈 Google 的在企業市場之威脅 ( Microsoft needs to be careful, Google start to threat Microsoft from 2013 in enterprise business )

Could Android replace Windows?

這表明另一個操作系統,填補了所缺的Windows聽起來很瘋狂,但肯定是不會發生在不久的將來,桌面Linux仍然沒有管理。什麼的更長遠,但? Android是出奇地好,放在微軟巨獸的衣缽。你不相信我嗎?請繼續閱讀,看看這是為什麼。Suggesting that another operating system could fill the shoes of Windows sounds crazy, it certainly isn’t going to happen in the near future, desktop Linux still hasn’t managed it. What about the much longer term though? Android is surprisingly well-placed to take on the mantle of the Redmond behemoth. Don’t believe me? Keep reading to see why.

更換桌面操作系統的移動操作系統的想法是荒唐可笑的,只不過幾年前。不過,微軟已經牢牢地釘住它的顏色與Windows 8在桅杆上。 ,像其他人一樣,看到的未來是移動,並已開始變形的世界的主食操作系統的到移動。新的Windows 8觸摸輸入UI界面,有一個應用程序商店和沙箱中所有的應用程序。這看起來非常像一個移動操作系統。但是,除非你使用的是Windows RT設備,所有的那一接口粘在傳統的桌面界面上方的。The idea of a mobile operating system replacing a desktop operating system would have been ludicrous just a few years ago. However, Microsoft has firmly pinned it colours to the mast with Windows 8. It, like everyone else, sees that the future is mobile, and has started morphing the world’s staple operating system into something more mobile-friendly. The new tiled interface of Windows 8 is made for touch input, has an app store and sandboxes all of its apps. That looks pretty much like a mobile OS to me. However, unless you’re using a Windows RT device, all of that touch interface is glued on top of the traditional desktop interface.

同時,谷歌移動向桌面與 Chrome OS 和 Android 終於起飛的平板電腦作業系統。在所有的移動操作系統,Android 是最類似於 Windows 的。它有一個很容易訪問的文件系統(不同的iOS 或 Windows Phone)。它作為最方便的開發環境,為原始設備製造商和最友善的,也就是說,它是免費的。此外,Android是以往任何時候都更廣泛的設備上出現,從 Galaxy 相機,智能電視和 Ouya 遊戲機。 Meanwhile, Google is moving toward the desktop with Chrome OS, and Android is finally taking off as a tablet operating system. Of all the mobile operating systems, Android is the most Windows-like. It has an easily accessible file system (unlike iOS or Windows Phone). It as the most accessible development environment, and the most friendly terms for OEMs, i.e. it’s free of cost. Furthermore, Android is appearing on an ever wider range of devices, from the Galaxy Camera, to Smart TVs and the Ouya gaming console.

具有諷刺意味的是,對於微軟來說​​,Android是更類似於Windows的比Windows Phone。可以看到更多的相似性比消費端的OEM和開發人員的角度,雖然。任何OEM可以建立不同的iOS,Android設備,而Windows Phone需要特許權使用費。它的便宜,進入開發Android應用程序,它是Android的問題,由於不同硬件的風景 - 就像PC世界一樣難以診斷。此外,Android是比其他移動平台更加低廉。 iOS設備已經超出了很多人的經濟承受能力,同時也有一些價格合理的Windows Phone手機,他們是在少數人的範圍。Ironically, for Microsoft, Android is more Windows-like than Windows Phone. The similarities can be seen more from the OEM and developer side than the consumer side, though. Any OEM can build an Android device, unlike iOS, and Windows Phone requires a royalty. It’s cheaper to get into developing Android apps and it’s just as hard to diagnose problems in Android due to the heterogeneous hardware landscape – just like the PC world. Also, Android is much more affordable than other mobile platforms. iOS devices are beyond the financial reach of many people and while there are some reasonably priced Windows Phone handsets, they are in the minority of the range.

更重要的是,Android 已經使原始設備製造商的實驗與創新的硬件格式。請記住,華碩Transformer和摩托羅拉Atrix筆記本電腦碼頭長在當前作物的Windows 8 可換 Ultrabooks。 What’s more, Android has enabled OEMs to experiment with innovative hardware formats. Remember that the Asus Transformer and Motorola Atrix laptop dock were available long before the current crop of Windows 8 convertible Ultrabooks.

Sales figures show that tablets are becoming ever more popular with some analysts suggesting tablets will overtake PC sales in the near future. This makes sense, as someone who exclusively used Linux for a long time then transferred back to Windows for work reasons, I know just how complicated Windows actually is. To do anything more than web browsing, Windows is an overwhelming maze of menus and dialogues, it’s certainly no easier to use than desktop Linux. Whenever I see my non-tech literate friends and family proudly showing off their new Windows laptop, I cringe when I think of all the things that are going to go wrong for them.

The comparatively simplified and controlled user interface that we find on all mobile devices, including Android, is far more suitable to the majority of consumers who are not tech-literate and have little inclination to learn. For the record, I disagree with such attitudes, it’s as irresponsible as owning a car and not understanding how it works, but that’s just me, I know most people will never subscribe to that point of view.

The future of Windows

一直在支持的Windows的因素是慣性。 Windows是事實上的操作系統在世界各地。然而,微軟的方式讓每個人都已經進入觸摸界面(正式名稱為“Metro”)接口。不僅具有一定的市場反應,這是不冷不熱,但還沒有得到證明背後的驅動器​​,由數量缺乏觸摸屏的筆記本電腦,許多原始設備製造商。The factor that has always been in favor of Windows is inertia. Windows is the de facto operating system across the world. However, Microsoft’s way of getting everybody into a touch interface has been with the tiled (formally known as ‘Metro’) interface. Not only has the market reaction to this been lukewarm, but many OEMs have not gotten behind the drive, as evidenced by the number of laptops that lack touchscreens.

Disclosure, I have been using and preferring Windows 8 (to 7) since its release preview.

討厭採用 Win 8 界面,結合中異軍突起的普及,很多人開始考慮轉向 Android 平板電腦與鍵盤作為替代品碼頭到 Windows Ultrabooks,尤其是當大多數 Ultrabooks 成本略微超過Android平板電腦和鍵盤的組合。 Reluctance to adopt the tiled interface, combined with the meteoric rise in popularity could start many people thinking about turning to Android tablets with keyboard docks as alternatives to Windows Ultrabooks, especially when most Ultrabooks cost marginally more than Android tablet and keyboard combinations.

另一大優勢,Android 目前的應用程序對 Windows 8 和 Windows RT。除非應用程序目錄為Windows RT 量爆炸,Android 將在未來一年或兩年的人可能需要為個人和工作用途的應用程序,仍然具有很大的優勢。The other advantage that Android currently has over Windows 8 and Windows RT is that of apps. Unless the app catalogue volume for Windows RT explodes over the next year or two, Android will still offer a great advantage for apps that people may need for personal and work uses.

Microsoft has been touting the vision that using Windows 8 and Windows Phone 8 will offer the best integrated experience between ‘PC’ and phone. However, as someone who regularly uses Windows 8 and Windows Phone 8, I have yet to see any meaningful integration. The most effective integration I’ve experienced is SkyDrive and OneNote – both of which are available for Android.

Moreover, look at the user interface of Android phones and tablets. There is far more similarity between the two, and most apps will run on phones and tablets. Meanwhile, the difference with Windows 8, Windows RT and Windows Phone gets tricky to explain to the non-techies in our lives.

On the entertainment side, Microsoft’s Xbox music matching service is an appalling mess, whereas Google Music has been up and running for a long time. Its maturity has made it possible third party developers to create Google Music clients on Windows 8/RT and Windows Phone.

Problems with this vision

有明顯好Android的原因,採取從Windows。例如,我會覺得更安全的建議Android平板電腦,我的家庭成員,而不是一個完全成熟的Windows筆記本電腦。然而,總有一些將是桌面級的應用,人們需要為他們的工作,如視頻或圖像編輯等. There are clearly good reasons for Android to take over from Windows. For example, I’d feel much safer recommending an Android tablet to members of my family than a full blown Windows laptop. However, there are always going to be desktop class applications that people need for their work, such as video or image editing, etc.

Furthermore, Microsoft’s commitment to the tiled touch interface will mean that everyone who owns a home computer will probably end up using, and getting used to Windows 8. Inertia wins again.

Also, the Windows 8 and Windows Phone shared kernel could yet provide a virtuous circle for developers to create apps and games that will run on mobile and on desktops. Even so, Microsoft are not pretending Windows Phone will go any further than third place in the smartphone wars.

Ultimately, waiting for Android to take over from Windows is wishful thinking, but there are an increasing number of individual cases where doing so actually makes a lot of sense.

Xyologic: Android Will Overtake Apple In Monthly Downloads In June 2012

應用程序的世界越來越大,因此它似乎是恰當的另一家公司是跳躍在嘗試做這一切的感覺。 ,Xyologic 在這方面,新的球員之一,現在國際研究步驟進一步指出:它是生產月度數據為29個不同的市場,包括 Android 設備,iPhone,iPad和WP7應用程序下載 - 可以說是給它一些更全面的覆蓋的產品是什麼在應用程序。為移動應用程序市場的數字揭示了一些有趣的趨勢。 The world of apps is only getting bigger, so it seems fitting that another company is jumping in to try to make sense of it all. One of the newer players in this area, Xyologic, is now taking its international research one step further: it is producing monthly numbers for 29 different markets, covering Android, iPhone, iPad and WP7 app downloads — arguably giving it some of the more comprehensive coverage of what’s selling in apps today. The numbers reveal some interesting trends for the mobile app market.

– 在8月份,iPhone和iPod贏得了勝利,當它來到用戶的平均下載量,在8.7應用程序。總體而言,有超過1.2億的應用程序下載到iPhone和iPod touch設備,Xyologic估計,有源器件的數量分別為140萬。 In August, the iPhone and iPod won the day when it came to average downloads per user, at 8.7 apps. Overall, there were more than 1.2 billion apps downloaded to iPhone and iPod touch devices, and Xyologic estimates that the number of active devices were 140 million.

– 趨勢表明,蘋果公司(NSDQ:AAPL)將被Android超越整體從明年開始,每月下載下載,但Xyologic說,這是已經發生的事情在一些國家:捷克共和國,波蘭和葡萄牙。 The trends suggest that Apple (NSDQ: AAPL) will be overtaken by Android overall in terms of downloads starting next year for monthly downloads, but Xyologic says that this is already happening in some countries: the Czech Republic, Poland and Portugal.

– 但也有一些關鍵的數據差距。例如,印度沒有列出的電話號碼。事實證明,印度仍然只有一個測試版的市場。 But there are some key data gaps. For example, India has no numbers listed. It turns out that India still only has a beta version of the Market.

– 在美國,iPhone 4.16億應用程序下載,並在8月份的iPad擁有7千7百萬。然而佔了近一倍的 Android 商店,其中有2.78億次的下載活動。 Xyologic估計,根據目前的趨勢,Android 將趕上與蘋果公司在2012年6月的月平均下載。 Android 將會趕上 iOS 在聚合​​下載2013年5月。這些趨勢表如下。 In the U.S., the iPhone had 416.71 million app downloads, and the iPad had 77 million in the month of August. Together, that accounted for nearly double the activity on the Android store, which had 278.72 million downloads. Xyologic estimates that based on current trends, Android will catch up with Apple by June 2012 in terms of monthly downloads. Android will catch up with iOS in aggregated downloads by May 2013. Tables for these trends are below.

– Windows Phone是仍然落後於應用程序,因為它是在整體市場份額。在許多情況下,看到在其他平台上,在數以十萬計(芬蘭諾基亞自己的國內市場)的數字下載相比,幾乎可以忽略不計分數的數以百計的百萬在其他平台上。在美國,WP市場看到了1.295千萬的下載量近5億 iOS 設備之間。Windows Phone is still as behind in apps as it is in overall marketshare. In many cases, almost a negligible fraction of the downloads seen on the other platforms, with numbers in the tens of thousands (including in Nokia’s own home market of Finland) compared the the hundreds of millions on other platforms. In the U.S. the WP Marketplace saw 12.95 million downloads compared to the nearly 500 million across iOS devices.

– Android和蘋果的應用程序商店在2012年8月有68萬的應用程序。這將是他們的第一個月是脖子和頸部這般接近。There will be 680,000 apps apiece in the Android and Apple app stores by August 2012. That will be the first month that they are neck-and-neck.

Xyologic 的數字打破了付費和免費的應用程序,以及在每個市場不同的平台上出版的應用程序的數量。情況下,它的適用,Xyologic 還提供不同的應用程序發布者產生多少收入從下載的平台上的估計。 (什麼是中國像Android Market的應用程序店面,例如,目前不提供付費的應用程式)。Xyologic’s figures break out paid and free apps, as well as the number of apps getting published on the different platforms in each market. In cases where it’s applicable, Xyologic is also offering estimates on how much revenue different app publishers are generating on platforms from downloads. (What’s left out are app storefronts like the Android Market in China, for example, which currently does not offer paid apps.)

這個項目背後的思考是,中的不和諧的許多應用程序,是在市場上今天,它的努力為開發人員,應用程序店面的運營商,廣告商和其他工作中的應用程序到是能夠得到一個大的圖片什麼是工作作為一個企業。甚至更多的情況下是在一個特定的市場開發工作與他們的應用程序在國外的野心。The thinking behind this project is that amid the cacophony of the many apps that are on the market today, it’s hard for developers, app storefront operators, advertisers and the others working in apps to be able to get a big picture about what is working as a business. That’s even more the case for those developers working in one particular market with ambitions to take their apps abroad.

Xyologic will be offering these analytics for free. As with its competitors, the company generates revenue from bespoke analysis it does on behalf of device makers, carriers, investors, app and game publishers. It also offers a search engine for consumers searching for apps, which is powered by Xyologic’s algorithms.

該公司尚未覆蓋的一件事,然而,這些應用程序商店銷售應用的一個平台以外的正式的店面。例如,中國的 Android 市場,但它的其他應用程序店面,銷售Android應用程序谷歌自己的產品外,還包含有大量。今天,有沒有確實的數據,計算所有的 Android應用程序下載整個市場及其他應用程序店面。所以Xyologic估計,在Android平台上看到 2214萬的下載量在8月通過官方市場,但實際數字可能已經高達8000萬。One thing that the firm is not yet covering, however, are those app stores that are selling apps for a platform outside of the official native storefronts. For example, China has the Android Market, but it also features a number of other app storefronts that are selling Android apps outside of Google’s own offering. Today, there is no hard data counting all those Android app downloads across the Market and other app storefronts. So Xyologic estimates that the Android platform saw 22.14 million downloads in August through the official Market, but that the actual number could have been as high as 80 million.

Gmail users now number 425 Million, becomes most used webmail service
Chromebook with Android will be a trend in future?

此前有消息稱,Chrome 已經成為這個星球上最常用的瀏覽器(3.1億用戶),Gmail 有4.25億的月活躍用戶已經超過了 Hotmail ,根據官方博客。隨著這個數字已經超越了Hotmail 的在歷史上是第一次。我們注意到,早在今年1月,Gmail 的是3.5億,所以一直強勁,穩定的增長。 After the news that Chrome has become the most used browser on the planet (with 310 million users), Gmail has surpassed Hotmail with a total of 425 Million monthly active users, according to the official blog. With that number it has surpassed Hotmail for the first time in history. We noted back in January that Gmail was at 350 Million, so the growth has been strong and steady.

A quote from TechCrunch:

它被用來在美國的45個州的政府機構和66的前100名大學在美國已經跑至谷歌 Gmail。谷歌還宣布,超過500萬的企業現在已經“用了 Gmail” 說,谷歌,包括一些大公司,包括羅氏公司,荷蘭皇家航空公司和其他。It’s being used by government agencies in 45 states and 66 of the top 100 universities in the U.S. have already gone Google. Google also announced that over 5 million businesses have now “gone Google.” This, says Google, includes a number of large companies, including Roche, KLM and others.

The service began in 2004, and it has been growing ever since. Over the years, important new features have been introduced, including Priority Inbox, to help users get a handle on their email stream.

These numbers come from Google itself: comScore on the other hand notes that the number of active Gmail users is much lower:

Google has way less unique visitors and still gives the edge to Hotmail and Yahoo. ComScore’s latest numbers from May have Hotmail at No. 1 with 325 million unique visitors, Yahoo at No. 2 with 298 million users, and Gmail at No. 3 with 289 million users.

However, comScore is a competitor to Google (in the analytics field), and the above stats do  not include smartphone / tablet access or internet cafe access, so the reliability of those numbers is debatable.

Gmail 在短短8年成為世界第一! Congrats to Gmail on becoming no. 1 in just 8 years!

趨勢分析與評論
  • Google Android OS 超越 iOS 後,緊接著就是 Android OS 加上 Gmail、Google drive、Google docs 會追上 Microsoft,雖然追上 Microsoft 時間不會這麼快;
  • Google Android OS 若配上 Chromebook 及 Microsoft web Office 將是台廠最佳產品,符合企業及個人需求。
  • 也就是說企業需求將分割成文書 office 需求及工作應用軟體需求,文書 office 需求只需要 ARM based Android OS 若配上 Chromebook 及 Microsoft web Office 就很夠用。
  • Microsoft 最佳策略應該是先買下所有工作常用之應用軟體公司團隊,否則,一旦ARM based Android OS 若配上 Chromebook 及 Microsoft web Office 流行於市場許多工作常用之應用軟體公司會將工作應用軟體轉成雲端工作應用軟體平台或配上 Chromebook 及 Android OS。
  • 由另一觀點看,既使 Microsoft 已經有 Window 8 及 Surface,但與 Android 及 iOS 比較,太過龐大以致硬體太貴,Smart Phone OS 是以小型、Cost effective 及易使用。
  • 既使微軟 Surface Pro 銷售告捷 128GB版銷售一空,但那只是緩和 PC、NB 將大幅衰退,無法新增市場,Tablet 市場仍大幅被 iPad、Android 及未來 Chromebook with Android Tablet 吃掉。
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